einfacher nachzuvollziehen ist die berechnung durch das Helmholtz Centre for Infection Research
https://gitlab.com/simm/covid19/secir/-/wikis/ReportThe estimate of the reproduction number is based on confirmed cases exclusively and ignores any estimate of unreported cases.
Because of dynamic changes in the reported case numbers of the final days as the result of delayed reporting, calculating Rt on those might be misleading. Therefore, we do not show the result for the two last days.
We are not considering any delay in reporting for the model. This issue is resolved over time by frequent updates in the data and simulation.
R_t is determined (time-window of 1 week and shifting time of 1 day)
06.04: erstmals unter 1
14.04: 0,5
25.04: 0.691
die zahlen vom rki dürften aber näher an der wahrheit liegen